Daily PUMA Column - Commentary by Alessandro Machi

Tuesday, July 3, 2018

20% of the 2016 Presidential voters voted 56-41 for Trump because of the Supreme Court Justice Issue.

When Barack Obama was not able to get a Supreme Court Justice voted in before the 2016 presidential elections, it opened the door for non Trump conservatives to vote for Trump just because he would get to pick the next Supreme Court Nominee.

The Democrats probably figured Hillary Clinton would win and there was a rumor she might even select Barack Obama as a Supreme Court Justice. Mathematically speaking, if 20% of all voters gave Donald Trump a 15% edge over Hillary Clinton specifically because a Supreme Court Justice was to be selected, that equals an overall 3% gain in Trumps Voting percentage. So pollsters could be off by 3 percentage points on Trump's total because voters could honestly say they were not supporting Trump, while quietly realizing they would vote for Trump specifically because they would rather he select the next Supreme Court Justice instead of Hillary Clinton.

So instead of winning by a plus 2% margin, Hillary Clinton might have actually had a 5% winning margin if the Supreme Court Justice issue had already been resolved and the Democrat choice was not considered horrible to Conservatives. 

It's also possible that if Barack Obama had been able to get his Supreme Court Justice pick approved that the Supreme Court Justice issue would have been kept alive with Conservatives and Religious Conservatives warning that If Hillary Clinton was elected, she would surely pick an even worse Supreme Court Justice than Barack Obama if she were to get a new opportunity to do so.

Still one wonders if the fact that a Supreme Court Justice pick was absolutely going to be made by the new president gave Never Trumper Conservatives the motivation they needed to vote for Trump. The "Select the next Supreme Court Justice by voting for Trump" meme was loudly lobbied for on conservative religious channels and in public speaking events by well known conservative religious leaders, who then had their public speeches in front of large gatherings  also rebroadcast on conservative religious channels.

So to those who say that the polls were intentionally against Trump, that is not true. The polls most likely forgot to ask a few key questions, such as, absolutely showing that in a four person race Trump was closer to Hillary Clinton than in a two person race, and that voters who disliked Trump would still vote for him because of the Supreme Court issue. 

One wonders if Progressives and Bernie Sander's supporters might have changed their minds and exchanged their protest votes for a third, fourth or no candidate, for Hillary Clinton, if they realized that Trump could win because Trump non supporters were going to vote for him specifically because of the Supreme Court Justice selection the new president would reside over.

As for DailyPUMA, DailyPUMAs biggest issue is how Hillary Clinton has reacted over her loss. Hillary Clinton apparently can't be bothered to get in great physical shape to show those who were on the fence about her that she had the ability to keep herself in good, physical shape. 

Instead DP is watching a Norma Desmond masquerade in which Ms. Clinton continues to cover up her unnecessarily declining health rather than look inward and realize that being able to cover up correctable physical insufficiencies just plays in to the hands of her detractors who say she is not to be trusted. Being physically fit shows a certain humility to something bigger than ourselves, and it inspires others. Ms. Clinton has chosen to inspire those younger than herself while forgetting what an amazing role model she still could be to those 60 years and older.

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